benefits and one-third of small businesses won¡¯t reopen. These numbers
represent real people with lost paychecks and shattered dreams.
Economic consequences breed societal problems. Alcohol and drug abuse
have skyrocketed, with hard liquor sales up by about 75 percent. Prescrip-
tions for anti-anxiety medication are up by about one-third.
Community experts worry about associated spikes in domestic violence and
suicides. The national Disaster Distress Helpline saw a 338 percent increase
in call volume in March compared with February. Suicide rates generally rise
by about one percent for every one percentage point increase in unemploy-
Patients are avoiding necessary care due to unnecessary hospital restric-
tions against seeing non-emergency patients. Oncologists, who treat cancer
patients, have recently seen their patient counts fall by nearly half. Sadly,
we will have more victims of Covid who never had the virus.
Extending stay-at-home orders could cause ¡°irreparable damage,¡± said Dr.
Anthony Fauci, the lead member of the White House coronavirus task force,
on May 22nd. ¡°I don¡¯t want people to think that any of us feel that staying
locked down for a prolonged period of time is the way to go.¡±
The facts are in. Covid poses a low risk to ordinary Americans, yet Covid
fear poses an enormous risk to our society. Flattening the fear will not only
save lives and livelihoods but help prevent the unraveling of the fabric of
(Alfredo Ortiz is the president and CEO of the Job Creators Network. C.L.
Gray is the president and founder of Physicians for Reform and a physician
in western North Carolina.)
those with at least one other underlying medi-
It¡¯s irrational for young and healthy people to
live in fear of this disease.
The original intent of flattening the curve was
to not overwhelm our healthcare system. By
working together, we have accomplished this
With this accomplished, government officials,
business leaders and (especially) the media
must now flatten the fear - the consequences
of which are just as dire as the disease.
Our nation is paralyzed because people are
paralyzed by fear.
Over the last ten weeks, more than 40 million
Americans have filed for unemployment
Scare Event Ends: Time To Flatten The Fear Curve
Extending stay-at-home orders could cause ¡°irreparable damage¡±
a good time to
buy?... Pg 8
keeping your food
sightings... Pg 10
colorado open for
business... Pg 12
Published June 5, by Alfredo Ortiz & C L Gray:
¡°When the facts change,¡± said 20th-century
economist John Maynard Keynes, ¡°I change my
State governors and public health officials
should follow this example in light of recent
CDC data showing that Covid-19 is much less
deadly than originally thought.
The CDC recently revised its death rate esti-
mate down to just 0.4 percent. And for many
demographics, it is far less than that.
Public officials should pivot from ¡°flattening the
curve¡± to ¡°flattening the fear.¡±
The data demonstrate that younger and other-
wise healthy Americans face little risk of dying
from this disease.
2020 JUN/JUL #11-2
Most people should immediately get back to living their daily lives without
fear, boosting our beleaguered economy.
Notably, one percent of counties in the country account for more than half
of all Covid deaths. Ten percent of counties account for more than 90 per-
cent of all deaths. Nearly half of the counties in the country haven¡¯t experi-
enced a single coronavirus death.
Yet safe counties are often beholden to state reopening timelines based on
conditions in major cities where Covid is often far more prevalent.
Keeping these areas that have been relatively untouched by the coronavi-
rus closed for business is a violation of residents¡¯ basic civil liberties and is
unnecessarily contributing to our dire economic situation.
According to a recent analysis by Avik Roy at Forbes, 42 percent of all
coronavirus deaths have come in nursing homes. In many states, nurs-
ing homes and assisted living facilities account for far more than half of all
deaths - 81 percent in Minnesota and 70 percent in Ohio.
If governments pursued a tailored Covid response moving forward, protect-
ing nursing homes, assisted living facilities, and the most vulnerable, we
could dramatically reduce the Covid death rate while letting the vast major-
ity of Americans resume a normal life.
We can isolate the few to protect the many instead of isolating the many to
protect the few.
Like location, age is also a strong risk indicator. According to the most re-
cent CDC data, more than 80 percent of all Covid deaths are among those
over 65 years old. Those aged under 55 account for just seven percent of
all Covid deaths. And the overwhelming majority of deaths are among
Decisions about reopening are being made every day
and several Colorado counties are going beyond the
statewide guidance to reopen businesses.